More than half the state’s Democrats (54%) recognize the name of Newark Mayor Ras Baraka, whose favorables are 26%-6%, while 34% know about Jersey City Mayor Steve Fulop his favorables with Democrats is at 17%-4%. Other potential gubernatorial contenders are better known than Sherrill, who has been on the political scene in New Jersey for less than six years. Sweeney, who is still mulling whether to seek the State Senate seat he lost in a 2021 upset, has publicly stated that he plans to run for governor in two years. More Democrats (55%) recognize former Senate President Steve Sweeney, but his favorables are nearly split at 19%-16% - the only potential Democratic candidate with double-digit unfavorables. “But in an open race, there are going to be some big guns who want the nomination, and Ciattarelli is going to have a fight on his hands if he wants to get it again.”Īmong Democrats, Sherrill, a three-term congresswoman from Montclair, has favorables of 28%-1% and is recognized by 41% of New Jerseyans. “Ciattarelli did better than anyone was expecting in 2021, so it makes sense that he wants another shot,” said Dan Cassino, a professor of Government and Politics at FDU, and the director of the poll. Holly Schepisi (R-River-Vale) is at 11%-0% among Republicans. (R-Vineland) is recognized by 41% of Republicans with favorables of 20%-1%. NJ 101.5 radio personality Bill Spadea is known to 37% of Republicans and has favorables of 26%-3%, while State Sen. Three other potential GOP gubernatorial candidates are less known. Statewide, Ciattarelli is known to 59% of adult New Jersey residents, with favorables of 22%-16% when Democrats and independents are included. ![]() ![]() This is the first public statewide poll that tests candidates in a gubernatorial race that is still two years away and only looks at name recognition and not head-to-head contests.Ĭiattarelli, a former assemblyman who came within three percentage points of unseating Murphy in 2021, is recognized by 76% of Republicans and has favorables of 47%-6%. Phil Murphy in 2025, Republican Jack Ciattarelli and just marginally, Democrat Mikie Sherrill, have the highest statewide favorables among members of their respective political parties, with most candidates still undefined, according to a new Fairleigh Dickinson University poll released this morning. Murphy's campaign declined to comment on recent polling.As New Jersey political insiders consider who might succeed term-limited Gov. Newsweek reached out to Ciattarelli's campaign for comment but did not receive a response in time for publication. "I mean, history has proven that this can be a very fickle year in terms of politics." "We're taking nothing for granted," Murphy told the AP. The poll, which was conducted October 15 through 18 among 600 likely voters, had a 3.9 percent margin of error.ĭuring a recent interview with the AP, Murphy said his campaign was keeping the state's voting history in mind and "running like we're 10 points behind." A subsequent poll by the Stockton Polling Institute found Murphy's lead dipping below 10 points, and the latest poll from Emerson College found Murphy's lead to be 6 points among likely voters and down to 4 points when undecided voters leaning toward one candidate or the other were factored in. That lead began to narrow in September, when a Monmouth University poll found Ciattarelli trailing Murphy by 13 points. In polls conducted shortly after Ciattarelli won New Jersey's GOP primary, Murphy's lead in the race was estimated to be between 11 and 19 points from mid-June through mid-August. The mid-October poll from Emerson College said that while only 7 percent of voters were not yet sure which of the two candidates they would cast their ballots for, pollsters said a majority of those undecided voters were leaning toward supporting Ciattarelli. New Jersey has more than 1 million more registered Democrats than it does registered Republicans, but more than 36 percent of the state's registered voters are independents, according to voter registration data last updated October 1. ![]() According to The Associated Press, New Jersey voters haven't chosen to re-elect a Democrat in a gubernatorial election in decades. Though New Jersey has gone to the Democratic presidential candidate every election year since 1992-with President Joe Biden winning the state last year by nearly 16 points-the state has flipped between Republican and Democratic governors, with Republican Chris Christie serving as Murphy's most recent predecessor for eight years before Murphy was elected to lead the state in 2017. Above, former President Barack Obama (L) and New Jersey Governor Phil Governor Murphy wave at attendees after taking part in an early vote rally on Octoin Newark, New Jersey. New polling indicates the governor's race in New Jersey is tightening with just over one week remaining until Election Day.
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